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The model library

Six models.
One question each.

Each one states what it read to get there, what it concluded, and what it will not claim. 3 of the six answer today.

Start with Leverage Stress Read the documentation
RiskLeverage Stress

Is this move getting overheated, and exposed to forced closing?

See the model PositioningFlow Absorption

Is someone buying or selling steadily while the price barely reacts?

See the model PositioningPositioning Divergence

Which groups of participants are starting to take opposite sides?

See the model RiskIn developmentCascade Risk

Where could forced selling or buying outrun the liquidity available to absorb it?

What it will read ExpectationsIn developmentExpectations Gap

Do options, prediction markets and the underlying price the same scenario?

What it will read PositioningIn developmentTrader Conviction

Does this bet actually matter to the trader making it?

What it will read

3 of the 6 are still in development, and say so on their own pages.Reach them from an agent

Four layers,
one market.

Not another number.
A reading you can take apart.

One model, one window, and the components underneath it. Pull one out and the reading re-draws without it.

BTC · Leverage Stress Demo data
81/100Elevated+49 points over 24hIndex, not probability
Analysis window: last 24h
Model output255075100Sep 09 · 12:00Sep 10 · 12:00 UTC
Fixed example · 10 Sep 2026, 12:00 UTC

Know what is
behind the reading.

Sources, methodology and time. The details that make a reading useful rather than merely confident.

  1. 01 / ProvenanceFollow it to the source.

    Inspect what a source covers and whether it is an input to the model or context alongside it.

  2. 02 / MethodologyUnderstand the measure.

    A score should explain its scale, drivers and limits. A large wallet is not automatically a skilled trader.

  3. 03 / TimeKeep the timestamps.

    A publication date and the moment a system first observes it are different facts.

What was known. When it was known.Illustrative
09:00
PublishedA source releases an observation
09:04
First observedThe system records the release
Later
RevisedA new version, on a different information set

Historical availability depends on each source’s version history. Retrieving an old report today does not establish that it was observed on its publication date.

Pick the question.
Not the number.

Every model on this page names what it answers, and every one of them names what it does not.

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