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Prediction market intelligence
for traders.

An implied probability is the end of the story. KnownAt shows the positioning behind it: who is building exposure, how fast, and whether the wallets doing it have been right before.

VenuesPolymarket · predict.fun
RecordedWallet-level fills
PublishedAfter verification
ToolsFour live

What you can read
on prediction markets.

Built on wallet-level fills observed from Polymarket and reconciled by trade ID; carry also covers predict.fun. Position building is not proof of an informed trader — it is what one wallet did, measured against its own history and the market’s.

Who is opening an unusually large position right now?

Large position building as it is detected, with the wallet, the market and the size it committed.

Whale Tracker Live · v2

Which wallets are building exposure quietly, across days?

Repeated buying that never arrives as one large trade, accumulated across hours and days.

Accumulation Tracker Live

Which wallets actually make money, and what do they hold now?

Realised performance measured from observed fills, alongside the positions those wallets hold today.

Top Traders Live

What would this position return at the size I would trade?

Carry and fees applied to a position of your size, rather than a headline rate quoted without them.

Carry & Yields Preview

Being built
for this market.

Trader ConvictionIn development

Whether a wallet is building with conviction or trading noise.

Read it yourself,
or let an agent read it.